Recession on the cards for Britain?

It’s been a difficult week for the UK economy this week. Figures released yesterday showed that the economy had contracted in the last month and that over Q1, growth was only 0.8% vs an expected 1%. 

It has led to further speculation that the UK could be headed towards a recession later in the year and comes off the back of the BoE’s deputy governor telling Bloomberg that we should expect further rises in Interest Rates.

Over the course of the day today, Sterling hit a two year low against the Dollar with no end in sight. It is believed by many that the rate could drop below the 1.20 mark in the near future.

Against the Euro, Sterling took a slight dip mid-week, but ended the week back where it started. 

Putting the Pound aside, the Euro has continued to decline against the US Dollar. It could end this week at the lowest point since 2002! Much of this can be put down to the war in Ukraine and the constant threats to the European energy markets from Russia. We could see parity in these currencies very soon.

Back to the UK and pressure is growing on the Government to introduce a Windfall Tax on energy companies. Just today figures were released showing Diesel had hit a record high wiping out the effect of the Fuel Duty Cut. Both the PM and Chancellor are said to be warming to the idea after a raft of energy companies announced huge profits. Just recently for example, the parent company of British Gas announced that it would be seeing between £739m and £1.4bn profits this year.

To round the week off with some positive news, an amateur baker has won a competition to create a new pudding to celebrate the Queen’s Platinum Jubilee. The lemon Swiss roll and amaretti trifle will now officially become ‘The Platinum Pudding’ and join Coronation Chicken as part of the UK’s culinary history.

Want to recieve The Friday Update straight into your inbox?

Previous updates...

BoE Governor: Expect 13%+ Inflation and a Recession!

BoE Governor: Expect 13%+ Inflation and a Recession!

The key update of the week is that the Bank of England has increased its interest rate by 0.5%, the largest increase since the Bank’s operational independence in 1997.  The rate rise comes on the back of a dismal economic forecast by the BoE that forecasted inflation rates of 13%…

Fears of recession loom as inflation spirals and confidence declines

Fears of recession loom as inflation spirals and confidence declines

This week has been dominated by the fears of a looming recession following the release of key GDP and confidence data. Significant news was released on Thursday when it emerged that the US economy shrank for a second consecutive quarter. This technical recession is due to a 0.9% GDP contraction…

Interest rate rises in the Eurozone & Canada

Interest rate rises in the Eurozone & Canada

It has been a big week in the EU with plenty of data and political action. The ECB has increased interest rates by 0.5%, the first rate rise in the Eurozone since 2011. It comes at a time when inflation has hit record highs of 8.6% and the economic gulf…

1 4 5 6 7 8 14

Discover more from Finseta

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading

Sonny Hellmers

Senior currency specialist